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Kaleidic Economics

  • About
  • News
  • GUIDE
  • REPORTS
  • Topics
    • Prediction markets
    • Uncertainty
    • Natural Rate
    • Scenarios
    • 2019 annual report
    • 2020 annual report
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Holston, Laubach and Williams estimate UK natural rate for 2016 was 1.5%

October 21, 2017 Anthony J. Evans

In a paper recently published in the Journal of International Economics, Kathryn Holston (working with Laubach and Williams) have estimates that the natural rate was 1.5% in 2016 (down from 2.6% in 2007 and 2.9% in 1990). Here's the key chart:

← Credit Card-Augmented DivisiaTaylor rule calculator: UK rates should be 4% →
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